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Bao Khang Pham
Bao Khang Pham

Calculating odds and hedging strategies in football betting

 Are you new to football betting and want to know how to minimize risks when placing bets? Have you heard about hedging but don't understand what it is and how to hedge effectively? Do you want to learn about the advantages and disadvantages of hedging in football betting? In this article, soccer tips weekend  will introduce you to the concept of hedging, effective hedging strategies, and the benefits of hedging. After reading this article, you will have more knowledge and skills to increase your chances of winning your bets.

Overview of the concept of hedging Before learning how to hedge effectively, you need to understand what hedging is. Hedging is a term used in football betting, referring to the action of placing a bet opposite to the initial odds to minimize risk and protect capital in case the outcome is not as predicted. Hedging is also known as hedging, a common technique in other types of betting such as stocks, currencies, or commodities.

Example of hedging Suppose you bet 1,000,000 VND on the Asian handicap (handicap) of Team A -0.5 with odds of 1.9. This means if Team A wins, you will receive 1,900,000 VND, but if Team A draws or loses, you will lose 1,000,000 VND. However, during the match, you see Team A not performing well, at risk of losing or drawing.

Overview of the concept of hedging You don't want to lose money, so you decide to hedge, meaning you bet on the opposite odds, which is Team B +0.5 with odds of 2.0. You bet 950,000 VND on this odds. This means if Team B wins or draws, you will receive 1,900,000 VND, but if Team B loses, you will lose 950,000 VND.

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By hedging, you have minimized risk and protected your investment capital. You will not lose money in any case, but only break even or make a small profit. The table below illustrates the results of hedging:

MATCH RESULT WINNING MONEY / BET A WINNING MONEY / BET B TOTAL WINNING MONEY PROFIT Team A wins 1,900,000 -950,000 950,000 -50,000 Team A draws -1,000,000 1,900,000 900,000 -100,000 Team A loses -1,000,000 1,900,000 900,000 -100,000 You can see that if Team A wins, you will break even, but if Team A draws or loses, you will profit 100,000 VND. This is a simple example of hedging that you can apply to other odds such as European handicap (1X2), total goals (over/under), or correct score.

However, to hedge effectively, you need to accurately calculate the odds, the amount of money bet, and the timing of hedging. We will introduce you to effective hedging strategies in the next section.

Effective hedging strategies in football betting To hedge effectively in football betting, you need to consider three main factors: odds, the amount of money bet, and the timing of hedging. Each factor has its significance and calculation method, affecting the outcome of hedging. You need to calculate accurately and consider carefully before deciding to hedge. Below are the details of each factor:

Odds The odds represent the likelihood of winning a bet, as well as the amount of money you will receive if you win that bet. Odds can change over time and match circumstances, so you need to constantly monitor and update them. When hedging, you need to choose the appropriate odds to ensure maximum profit or minimum loss.

You also need to know how to read and calculate the odds of different bets, such as Asian handicap, European handicap, total goals, or correct score.

Reading and calculating odds Depending on the type of bet, you will encounter different ways of reading and calculating odds. We will introduce you to some of the most common methods:

Asian handicap: This bet is based on the goal difference between two teams. The odds of this bet are usually expressed in decimal numbers, for example, 1.9, 2.0, 2.1… If you bet on this bet, you will receive the amount of money you bet multiplied by the odds, minus the amount of money bet. For example, if you bet 1,000,000 VND on odds of 1.9, you will receive 1,900,000 VND, minus 1,000,000 VND, which is a profit of 900,000 VND. However, if the odds have a minus sign (-), for example, -1.9, -2.0, -2.1… then you need to divide the amount of money bet by the odds, then subtract the amount of money bet. For example, if you bet 1,000,000 VND on odds of -1.9, you will receive 1,000,000/1.9 = 526,315 VND, minus 1,000,000 VND, resulting in a loss of 473,685 VND. European handicap (1X2): This bet is based on the final outcome of the match, with three possibilities: win, draw, or lose. The odds of this bet are also expressed in decimal numbers, for example, 1.5, 3.0, 4.5… If you bet on this bet, you will receive the amount of money you bet multiplied by the odds, minus the amount of money bet. For example, if you bet 1,000,000 VND on odds of 1.5, you will receive 1,500,000 VND, minus 1,000,000 VND, which is a profit of 500,000 VND. Total goals (over/under): This bet is based on the total number of goals in the match, with two possibilities: over or under a certain level. The odds of this bet are also expressed in decimal numbers, for example, 1.8, 2.1, 2.3… If you bet on this bet, you will receive the amount of money you bet multiplied by the odds, minus the amount of money bet. For example, if you bet 1,000,000 VND on odds of 1.8, you will receive 1,800,000 VND, minus 1,000,000 VND, which is a profit of 800,000 VND. Correct score: This bet is based on the exact score of the match, with many different possibilities. The odds of this bet are also expressed in decimal numbers, for example, 5.0, 6.5, 7.5… If you bet on this bet, you will receive the amount of money you bet multiplied by the odds, minus the amount of money bet. For example, if you bet 1,000,000 VND on odds of 5.0, you will receive 5,000,000 VND, minus 1,000,000 VND, which is a profit of 4,000,000 VND. Effective hedging strategies in football betting Effective hedging strategies in football betting

Considerations when choosing odds When choosing odds for hedging, you need to consider the following points:

You should choose the highest odds possible for the opposite bet to increase profit or reduce losses. You can compare the odds of different bookmakers to find the best odds. You should choose odds that are appropriate for the type of bet you placed initially. For example, if you bet on the Asian handicap, you should hedge for the opposite Asian handicap, rather than for the European handicap or total goals, as these bets may not be related to the outcome of the Asian handicap. You should choose reasonable odds, neither too high nor too low compared to the market. If the odds are too high, it may be because the bookmaker has inside information or intends to deceive. If the odds are too low, it may be because the bookmaker has adjusted to limit hedging. You should seek the advice of experts or betting forums for the best decision. Amount of money bet when hedging in football betting The amount of money bet is an important factor when hedging because it affects your profit or loss. You need to calculate the amount of money bet for the opposite bet accurately to ensure you do not lose money in any case, or at least minimize losses. You also need to consider carefully before placing bets because if you bet too much or too little, you may miss out on winning opportunities or make less profit.

Calculation method for the amount of money bet The calculation method for the amount of money bet for the opposite bet depends on the type of bet you placed initially. However, there is a general formula that you can apply to most types of bets, which is:

Amount of money bet for the opposite bet = (Amount of money bet for the initial bet x Odds of the initial bet) / Odds of the opposite bet

This formula will help you calculate the amount of money bet for the opposite bet so that you will break even in any case. If you want a small profit or less loss, you can adjust the amount of money bet for the opposite bet slightly, but not too much.

Example of calculating the amount of money bet Suppose you bet 1,000,000 VND on the Asian handicap of Team A -0.5 with odds of 1.9. During the match, you see Team A not performing well, so you decide to hedge for the opposite Asian handicap, Team B +0.5 with odds of 2.0. You will calculate the amount of money bet for the opposite bet as follows:

Amount of money bet for the opposite bet = (1,000,000 x 1.9) / 2.0 = 950,000 VND

By betting 950,000 VND on the opposite bet, you will break even in any case, as illustrated in the table in the previous section. If you want a small profit, you can bet slightly less, for example, 900,000 VND. If you want less loss, you can bet slightly more, for example, 1,000,000 VND. However, you should be careful because if you bet too much or too little, you may miss out on winning opportunities or make less profit.

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Considerations when placing bets When placing bets for the opposite bet, you need to consider the following points:

You should bet with a reputable bookmaker and the highest possible odds for the opposite bet. You can compare the odds of different bookmakers to find the best one. You should place bets quickly when you decide to hedge because the odds can change at any time. If you hesitate too long, you may miss out on the opportunity to hedge at the best odds. You should bet with an amount of money that is appropriate for your investment capital and goals. You should not bet too much or too little, as it may lead to loss of control and undesirable consequences. Benefits and drawbacks of hedging in football betting Hedging is a useful technique in football betting, but it also has benefits and drawbacks that you need to know. You need to carefully consider before deciding to hedge, to take advantage of its benefits and avoid its drawbacks. Here are some benefits and drawbacks of hedging:

Benefits of hedging Hedging has the following benefits:

Helps you control the risk of losses by minimizing risk and protecting your investment capital. You will not lose money in any case, but only break even or make a small profit. Helps you optimize profits by taking advantage of winning opportunities or reducing losses. You will be able to make more profit or less loss than if you did not hedge. Helps you increase your chances of winning bets by allowing you to bet on different bets, increasing the chance of winning at least one bet. You will be able to diversify your investment portfolio, not placing all your bets on a single bet.


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